The hottest supply and demand may improve the pric

The supply-demand side may improve, and the price of book pages may rise slowly

release date: Source: editor in charge of China's packaging and printing industry: gogo Views: 1731 copyright and disclaimer

core tip: since 2017, after the price of national waste book pages and newspapers rose to a high level, since 2018, the price performance has been relatively mild, and the overall price fluctuation is not large

[China Packaging News] since 2017, after the price of national waste book paper and newspapers rose to a high level due to shock, the price performance has been relatively mild since 2018, and the overall fluctuation range of the price is not large

according to data monitoring, in 2017, the lowest national average price of waste book paper was 1750 yuan/ton in January, and the highest price was 3047 yuan/ton in October, with a price difference of 1297 yuan/ton. So far in 2018, the highest national average price of national waste pages has appeared on the eve of the Spring Festival in January, with a price of 2883 yuan/ton, and the lowest price in early June is 2728 yuan/ton, with a price difference of 155 yuan/ton

under the influence of the substantial tightening of the foreign waste policy in 2017, the price of waste paper rose to a high level, but this year's foreign waste policy is still tightening. Up to now, the import volume of foreign waste has decreased by nearly 50% compared with the same period last year, but the national waste book page paper has not soared again. In addition to the high price, the validity period of artificial joints in the elderly group is 12 (1) 5 years, the weak demand is the main reason, especially in June and July

it is understood that in June and July, the traditional packaging paper has entered the off-season, and the news of paper mill shutdown and maintenance, production reduction and price protection, profit transfer and shipment are constantly heard, while the contradiction between supply and demand of waste book paper in the raw material country is more prominent

because June and July are the summer vacation, the supply of six sides of the national waste book page paper market is flat, and the volume of goods receivable has reached the highest value of the whole year, while the demand of paper enterprises is generally poor, and the purchase price has been continuously reduced. For example, Shandong Century Sunshine Paper Co., Ltd. has continuously reduced the purchase price to 150 yuan/ton to realize the controllable conversion of electromagnetic waves from absorption and transmission in a specific frequency band. The purchase price of paper industry of scale such as Dongguan nine dragons in Guangdong Province tends to be stable after the reduction in the early stage, while Tianjin Nine Dragons is still in a closed state

according to the recent research on the late price trend of some suppliers, 50% of the industry holds a wait-and-see attitude towards the late price trend of national waste book paper, and another 40% of the industry believes that the short-term price may rise, mainly due to the slow improvement of downstream demand, while 10% of the industry believes that the stock of finished paper in the early stage of the paper mill is still large, there is still inventory pressure in the short term or specifically, and the purchase price of book paper may still fall

in August, the demand for finished paper is getting better and better. In the second half of the year, the exit pace of Zhejiang Fuyang whiteboard paper factory may slow down, and some new production capacity will start commissioning production. In terms of demand, the demand for waste book paper in China may be significantly higher than that in the early stage. In terms of supply, it is still unlikely to relax the import of foreign waste, and the amount is still mainly concentrated in large factories. Small and medium-sized paper mills have little import qualification, and the dependence on national waste page paper is still unabated. With the end of the summer vacation, the supply volume of national waste page paper market is expected to decrease significantly. Combined with the above factors, it is expected that the national waste book paper may stabilize first and then rise in August. In the fourth quarter, as the demand for finished paper decreases, the production and sales of paper mills and prices are under pressure again, and the price of national waste book paper may decline again